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Advantages and insights from a hierarchical Bayesian growth and dynamics model based on salmonid electrofishing removal data

Laplanche, Christophe and Leunda, Pedro M. and Boithias, Laurie and Ardaíz, José and Juanes, Francis Advantages and insights from a hierarchical Bayesian growth and dynamics model based on salmonid electrofishing removal data. (2019) Ecological Modelling, 392. 8-21. ISSN 0304-3800

(Document in English)

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Official URL: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2018.10.018


Growth is a fundamental ecological process of stream-dwelling salmonids which is strongly interrelated to critical life history events (emergence, mortality, sexual maturity, smolting, spawning). The ability to accurately model growth becomes critical when making population predictions over large temporal (multi-decadal) and spatial (meso) scales, e.g., investigating the effect of global change. Body length collection by removal sampling is a widely-used practice for monitoring fish populations over such large scales. Such data can be efficiently integrated into a Hierarchical Bayesian Model (HBM) and lead to interesting findings on fish dynamics. We illustrate this approach by presenting an integrated HBM of brown trout (Salmo trutta) growth, population dynamics, and removal sampling data collection processes using large temporal and spatial scales data (20 years; 48 sites placed along a 100 km latitudinal gradient). Growth and population dynamics are modelled by ordinary differential equations with parameters bound together in a hierarchical structure. The observation process is modelled with a combination of a Poisson error, a binomial error, and a mixture of Gaussian distributions. Absolute fit is measured using posterior predictive checks, which results indicate that our model fits the data well. Results indicate that growth rate is positively correlated to catchment area. This result corroborates those of other studies (laboratory, exploratory) that identified factors besides water temperature that are related to daily ration and have a significant effect on stream-dwelling salmonid growth at a large scale. Our study also illustrates the value of integrated HBM and electrofishing removal sampling data to study in situ fish populations over large scales.

Item Type:Article
HAL Id:hal-03522771
Audience (journal):International peer-reviewed journal
Uncontrolled Keywords:
Institution:French research institutions > Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique - CNRS (FRANCE)
Université de Toulouse > Institut National Polytechnique de Toulouse - Toulouse INP (FRANCE)
French research institutions > Institut de Recherche pour le Développement - IRD (FRANCE)
Université de Toulouse > Université Toulouse III - Paul Sabatier - UT3 (FRANCE)
Other partners > Victoria University (CANADA)
Other partners > Gestión Ambiental de Navarra S.A. (SPAIN)
Other partners > Gobierno de Navarra (SPAIN)
Laboratory name:
Deposited On:06 Dec 2018 16:02

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