A decision support tool for procurement planning process under uncertainty

Abstract

This communication presents a method to support the customer in the choice of a procurement plan when the gross requirements are ill-known, in a context of collaboration with the supplier. A general model of imperfect parameter representation is suggested, imperfection gathering uncertainty (through various scenarios) and imprecision (through quantities and dates expressed by possibility distribution). A method to compute the possible quantities required to satisfy the gross requirements under the supplier delivering constraints is proposed. From this value, a set of possible supplied quantities is computed to support the decision making of the customer. The decision maker then evaluates the procurement plan with the possible evolution of the inventory.