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Modelling the impact of climate change and atmospheric N deposition on French forests biodiversity

Rizzetto, Simon and Belyazid, Salim and Gégout, Jean-Claude and Nicolas, Manuel and Alard, Didier and Corket, Emmanuel and Gaudio, Noémie and Sverdrup, Harald and Probst, Anne Modelling the impact of climate change and atmospheric N deposition on French forests biodiversity. (2016) Environmental Pollution, 213. 1016-1027. ISSN 0269-7491

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Official URL: http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.envpol.2015.12.048

Abstract

A dynamic coupled biogeochemical-ecological model was used to simulate the effects of nitrogen deposition and climate change on plant communities at three forest sites in France. The three sites had different forest covers (sessile oak, Norway spruce and silver fir), three nitrogen loads ranging from relatively low to high, different climatic regions and different soil types. Both the availability of vegetation time series and the environmental niches of the understory species allowed to evaluate the model for predicting the composition of the three plant communities. The calibration of the environmental niches was successful, with a model performance consistently reasonably high throughout the three sites. The model simulations of two climatic and two deposition scenarios showed that climate change may entirely compromise the eventual recovery from eutrophication of the simulated plant communities in response to the reductions in nitrogen deposition. The interplay between climate and deposition was strongly governed by site characteristics and histories in the long term, while forest management remained the main driver of change in the short term.

Item Type:Article
Additional Information:Thanks to Elsevier editor. The definitive version is available at http://www.sciencedirect.com The original PDF of the article can be found at Environmental Pollution website : http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0269749115302621
HAL Id:hal-01360660
Audience (journal):International peer-reviewed journal
Uncontrolled Keywords:
Institution:Other partners > AgroParisTech (FRANCE)
French research institutions > Centre de Coopération Internationale en Recherche Agronomique - CIRAD (FRANCE)
French research institutions > Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique - CNRS (FRANCE)
Université de Toulouse > Institut National Polytechnique de Toulouse - INPT (FRANCE)
French research institutions > Institut National de la Recherche Agronomique - INRA (FRANCE)
Université de Toulouse > Université Toulouse III - Paul Sabatier - UPS (FRANCE)
Other partners > Lund University (SWEDEN)
French research institutions > Office National des Forêts - ONF (FRANCE)
Other partners > Université de Bordeaux (FRANCE)
Other partners > University of Iceland (ICELAND)
Laboratory name:
Funders:
French EPA (ADEME) - French National Research Agency (ANR)
Statistics:download
Deposited By: Anne PROBST
Deposited On:19 Jul 2016 15:25

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